Living through a pandemic
in the south of France
536 days in Carcassonne since
1st lockdown in March 2020
DAILY STATISTICS HERE
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A very hot and humid & cloudy weather in our part of the world this morning. It was announced earlier on the radio that one should do as little as possible.
And what did I do? I was the 1st patient at the hospital for my yearly heart ❤️ stress test which as everyone knows means pedalling till exhaustion on a static bicycle.
I was not sure I was going to make it due to the various issues and catheter in place since last week but I did it and all is well. At last some good news.
✏️ Daily update – National
On Monday 6 September, 3,042 new cases of Covid-19 were recorded in 24 hours, according to figures from Santé publique France, bringing the total number of confirmed cases since the start of the epidemic to 6,839,494.
The positivity rate, which measures the number of positive cases in relation to the number of people tested, stands at 2.4%.
The number of patients hospitalised rose slightly to 10,757 from 10,644 on Sunday.
The critical care services, which receive the most seriously ill patients, had 2,249 patients, including 187 admitted in the last 24 hours.
In 24 hours, 103 people have died in hospital from Covid. The total death toll since the beginning of the epidemic is 115,007, of which 88,339 have died in hospital.
On the vaccination front, 49,198,166 people have received at least one injection (i.e. 73% of the total population) and 45,633,313 people now have a complete vaccination schedule (i.e. 67.7% of the total population).
✏️ Daily update – Regional
Thanks to the figures communicated this Monday 6 September by Santé publique France, here is the outcome of the epidemic in the Aude and Pyrénées-Orientales regions.
In the Aude, on 6 September, the number of people hospitalised for Covid reached 84 (-2), including 56 in conventional hospitalisation (-1 in 24 hours).
Among them, 14 are in critical care (-1).
The incidence rate continued to fall to 160 per 100,000 inhabitants in the rolling week from 28 August to 3 September, reported on Monday. It has been divided by three since its peak on 27 July at 480.
In the department, 396 deaths due to Covid are to be deplored in hospital, two more than on Sunday.
In Aude, 1,420 people have returned home since March, including 4 in 24 hours.
Incidence rate divided by 4 in the Pyrénées-Orientales
In the Pyrénées-Orientales on 30 August, 110 patients are being treated in hospital, 2 less than on Sunday, including 48 in conventional hospitalisation (-1).
Some 16 of them are being treated in critical care (resuscitation, intensive care or continuous monitoring), a figure that has remained stable over 24 hours.
In the rolling week from 28 August to 3 September, the incidence rate is still falling at 145 per 100,000. It has been divided by 4 since its peak of 637 on 25 July.
No deaths have been reported in the department since Saturday. In total, 389 people have died in hospital since March 2020.
Finally, 1,677 patients were able to return home, including 6 within 24 hours.
▫️ MORE DATA
I have been monitoring the number of monthly deaths, all reasons, in France (excluding overseas territories) as published officially by the INSEE.
Despite the 115k Covid related deaths so far, the average monthly death toll has not increased that much in 2020 and so far in 2021 compared to the 2 years preceding the pandemic. The effect of the lockdowns has meant fewer road accident related deaths. Social distancing and other hygienic measures in place have meant a greatly number of flu cases last winter and consequently less flu related deaths.
▫️ Covid-19: Does the Israeli example prove the ineffectiveness of the vaccine?
Until recently, Israel was a leader in the fight against Covid-19, but the country is now caught up in the fourth wave of the epidemic. With almost 11,000 cases of Covid-19 per 100,000 inhabitants recorded on the eve of the start of the school year, the Hebrew state reached a new record of daily infections last week. By way of comparison, it has the fourth highest infection rate in the world behind Georgia, Dominica and Cuba, where vaccination coverage is not as extensive.
Does this mean that the anti-Covid-19 serum is ineffective, as some have suggested? In reality, several factors can explain the figures recorded in Israel.
Vaccination at a standstill
The first factor put forward by the Israeli authorities is the omnipresence of the Delta variant, which is much more contagious than the previous strains. Indeed, contrary to the original strain, the reproduction rate of the virus, the famous R0, is no longer 2 or 3, but 6.4. In other words, the virus is now transmitted to around 260 individuals, compared to 15 to 40 previously.
If this criterion is indeed to be taken into consideration, it cannot however explain on its own the virulence of the rebound currently observed in Israel, since the Delta variant is also dominant in many other countries that do not record such worrying figures.
But in the face of this omnipresence of the Delta variant, the vaccination rate has hardly changed in recent months. However, the non-vaccinated remain an important reservoir for the circulation of the virus and do not allow the country to reach the threshold of collective immunity, estimated at 80% or 90% of the population. Thus, whereas last April, 55% of Israelis were already fully vaccinated, 60% are now. By way of comparison, France has gone from 15% to over 70% in the same period.
The demographic weight of children
In parallel with this vaccination campaign, which has run out of steam, the demographic weight of children also seems to be a factor in the equation, with 28% of the Israeli population aged 14 or under, according to the World Bank, while this rate does not exceed 20% in European countries, the Far East or the United States. However, with the exception of children aged 5 to 11 at risk of serious complications, it is still not possible to vaccinate children under 12.
Although the Israeli authorities extended vaccination to young people aged 12 to 16 at the beginning of June, only 33% of them are fully vaccinated. In France, on the eve of the start of the school year, nearly 45% of adolescents in this age group had received their two doses of vaccine and 62% were fully vaccinated.
Is a booster necessary?
In this context, Israel, one of the first countries in the world to have vaccinated the majority of its population of nine million, has launched a campaign in recent weeks for a third dose to improve the immune response of those vaccinated for more than six months, which has already been administered to about 2.5 million people.
Indeed, as in most countries, the first people vaccinated in the Hebrew state were the oldest and most fragile, which could explain why their immunity declines more quickly and why some of this population is currently on hospital wards.
It should be noted, however, that although 1,300 people are still hospitalised for Covid-19 in Israel, the situation seems to have stabilised since the end of August in hospitals, and that only 4.8% of severely affected patients are fully vaccinated, according to official data from the Hebrew State. This proves that vaccination does indeed protect against severe forms of the disease.
© LCI / Translation © J2S
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At this very moment, I am off food. So no comment available today.
▫️ NEWS FROM ACROSS THE POND 🇺🇸
Some more gems from crazy USA
▫️ ADDITIONAL READS FOR TODAY
📖 50 million?
Yes, that’s the number we will reach, probably by the end of the week. There will be 50 million people vaccinated against Covid in our country. With at least one dose. Despite the reluctance, the doubts, the questions, this is quite an achievement. Never in such a short time – less than nine months – have so many people been “stung” on our territory. This weekend, with the operation that allowed people to receive the serum without an appointment, the figure rose again: 67.4% of the population, or 45.5 million people according to the latest data communicated this morning by the Ministry of Health, are “immunised” with a complete vaccination scheme. A term that does not mean that one cannot catch the virus and transmit it.
It’s still far from over
The injections from Pfizer, Moderna, Janssen or AstraZeneca do, however, make it possible to avoid a serious form of the disease and to be less contagious. This is a strong way to protect yourself against Covid, which has been disabling our daily lives for more than a year and a half. Of course, the health pass – which again drew some 140,000 demonstrators on Saturday, but whose introduction made it possible to speed up vaccination – is still there, and the authorities are not hiding the fact that it could remain compulsory after 15 November. And let’s not forget the great disparities behind these 50 million vaccinated people. There is an urgent need to catch up in Polynesia and the West Indies, where the epidemic is taking its toll. In certain neighbourhoods too, such as Marseille or Creil. And let’s not forget our elderly. About 11% of the over 75s, who are at high risk, have not been vaccinated, and it is a government priority to reach them. According to statistics released today, nearly 89.8 million injections have been given since the campaign was launched on 27 December. There is still a long way to go.
© Laurence Le Fur – Parisien / Translation © J2S